Lesson 5 of 20 · Problem Solving
InvestigationintermediateProblem Solving — Prediction
What You'll Learn
Key Concept: Prediction
Think About This
You realize that an assumption you held about prediction might be wrong. How do you handle updating your beliefs in light of new evidence?
Thinking Steps
Define
State the problem or question about prediction in your own words. Be specific.
Investigate
What evidence or information is available? What might be missing?
Consider Angles
Look at this from at least two perspectives. What would someone who disagrees say?
Reason It Out
Connect evidence to your conclusion: 'The evidence shows X, which means Y, because Z.'
Test Your Thinking
Could you be wrong? What evidence would change your mind? Rate your confidence 1-10.
Reflect & Connect
What thinking skill did you use? How could you apply this to something in your real life?
Key Points
Understand prediction
Practice problem solving daily
Apply thinking skills to real-world situations
Key Vocabulary
Iteration
Improving something by trying again and again
Root Cause
The real, underlying reason a problem happens
Optimization
Making a solution as good as it can be
Why This Matters in Real Life
The design thinking process used in this lesson is the same process used at companies like Apple, Google, and IDEO to create products used by billions of people.
Talk About It
Discuss these questions with a friend, parent, or classmate.
- 1Give a real-world example where prediction would help you make a better decision.
- 2What's the most common mistake people make with this kind of thinking?
- 3How does this thinking skill connect to other subjects you study in school?
- 4If you had to teach this to a younger student, what's the ONE thing you'd make sure they understood?
Check Your Understanding
Question 1
1 of 3What is the main idea of prediction?
